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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leverkusen logo

Augsburg
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (55')
Beljo (37'), Maier (59'), Engels (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hincapie (27'), Adli (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Dortmund
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 With both teams losing last weekend, we can envisage a relatively cagey encounter in Bavaria on Friday evening, with both managers preferring to see their sides hold onto possession for long periods. However, there is little doubt that Leverkusen possess superior individual quality within their ranks, and they should be able to return to winning ways having made great strides under Alonso's management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
31.56% (0.459 0.46) 25.59% (0.386 0.39) 42.85% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-1.08 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-1.492 -1.49)49.35% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-1.359 -1.36)71.4% (1.361 1.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.441 -0.44)29.3% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.543 -0.54)65.27% (0.54400000000001 0.54)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-1.039 -1.04)22.93% (1.041 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (-1.552 -1.55)56.69% (1.553 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 31.56%
    Bayer Leverkusen 42.85%
    Draw 25.58%
AugsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.396 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.85%

How you voted: Augsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Augsburg
19.4%
Draw
14.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
66.2%
139
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Augsburg
Aranguiz (43')
Azmoun (79')
Jensen (15'), Hahn (82')
Pedersen (35'), Demirovic (42'), Gouweleeuw (70'), Rexhbecaj (75'), Gikiewicz (82'), Bauer (89')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Augsburg
Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (30')
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (5')
Benes (49'), Niederlechner (59')
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Augsburg
Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')
Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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