Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Feb 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (55')
Beljo (37'), Maier (59'), Engels (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hincapie (27'), Adli (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Dortmund
Sunday, January 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With both teams losing last weekend, we can envisage a relatively cagey encounter in Bavaria on Friday evening, with both managers preferring to see their sides hold onto possession for long periods. However, there is little doubt that Leverkusen possess superior individual quality within their ranks, and they should be able to return to winning ways having made great strides under Alonso's management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
31.56% ( 0.46)	25.59% ( 0.39)	42.85% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-1.49)

49.35% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-1.36)

71.4% (

1.36)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

-0.44)

29.3% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0.54)

65.27% (

0.54)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07% (

-1.04)

22.93% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31% (

-1.55)

56.69% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 31.56%

Bayer Leverkusen 42.85%

Draw 25.58%

Augsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.85%