We said: Monaco 3-0 Auxerre
Monaco are the second-highest scorers in Ligue 1, while Auxerre have the second-worst defensive record in the division, so the hosts look set to claim a comfortable victory on Wednesday, condemning the visitors to a seventh straight league defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Auxerre |
66.12% ( 0.13) | 18.84% ( -0.06) | 15.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.16) | 37.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.29% ( 0.17) | 59.71% ( -0.16) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% ( 0.08) | 10.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.17) | 34.29% ( -0.17) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.01) | 37.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.52% ( 0.01) | 74.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 66.12%
Auxerre 15.05%
Draw 18.84%
| Monaco | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.84% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.05% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Auxerre
Monaco
88.9%Draw
7.9%Auxerre
3.2%63
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 4pm
Auxerre
2-3
Monaco
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')
