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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
AC Ajaccio

Monaco
7 - 1
Ajaccio

Disasi (2'), Diatta (6'), Ben Yedder (21', 28', 35' pen.), Embolo (63', 89')
Camara (20')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Belaili (11')
Diallo (33'), Mangani (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-0 Ajaccio

Monaco have been rather ropey in the last week, but they should be able to show off their credentials here against a struggling Ajaccio side. The visitors are without a number of first-team players and are finding it difficult to score goals so it could be a long afternoon for the Corsican side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAjaccio
60.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 23.02% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 16.49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.232 -0.23)52.82% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.198 -0.2)74.44% (0.196 0.2)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)17.1% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.104 -0.1)47.3% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (-0.263 -0.26)45.16% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.208 -0.21)81.06% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 60.48%
    Ajaccio 16.49%
    Draw 23.02%
MonacoDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Monaco vs Ajaccio

Monaco
80.0%
Draw
15.6%
Ajaccio
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2014 4pm
Ajaccio
1-4
Monaco
Tallo (75')
Mostefa (33'), Dielna (34'), Faty (67'), Tonucci (81')
Berbatov (52', 74'), Kondogbia (88'), Ocampos (90')
Abidal (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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