Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 3
Monaco

Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco look a lot more compact on the road than they do at Stade Louis II, and their creativity in the midfield, along with some in-form strikers, should make it difficult for Auxerre to get a foothold in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Monaco
29.46% ( 2.75)	24.79% ( 0.21)	45.75% ( -2.96)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

0.83)

46.81% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

0.77)

69.06% (

-0.78)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

2.47)

29.45% (

-2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

2.92)

65.46% (

-2.93)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.92)

20.52% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

-1.47)

53.02% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 29.46%

Monaco 45.75%

Draw 24.78%

Auxerre	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.46%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.75%