Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
2 - 1
Auxerre

Khaoui (55'), Kyei (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jubal (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Clermont
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Brest
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Clermont making a solid start to the season, we expect them to win this one without too much trouble. The home side were 3-1 victors against Ajaccio, who were promoted to Ligue 1 alongside Auxerre last season, in their last match and so they should be expected to win in similar fashion here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Auxerre
43.31% ( 0.05)	26.52% ( -0.02)	30.17% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

0.05)

53.68% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

0.04)

75.17% (

-0.04)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.04)

24.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

0.06)

59.09% (

-0.06)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

32.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Clermont 43.31%

Auxerre 30.17%

Draw 26.52%

Clermont	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.31%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.17%