Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes1 - 1Auxerre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
As the standings indicate, these are two evenly-matched teams, though Troyes might have a little more quality in the attack. Auxerre looked sharp along the backline last weekend, and we expect them to hold firm on Friday, as the message from their new boss seems to be resonating early on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Auxerre |
54.79% ( -0.03) | 22.92% ( 0.01) | 22.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
