Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lorient |
46.1% ( 0.13) | 26.51% ( -0.1) | 27.38% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% ( 0.36) | 55% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( 0.29) | 76.27% ( -0.29) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( 0.22) | 23.82% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% ( 0.31) | 57.99% ( -0.31) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.69% ( 0.17) | 35.3% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( 0.17) | 72.06% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |