Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 1, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
2 - 0
Lorient

Ripart (7'), Kouame (34')
Kabore (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Diarra (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the two teams devoid of confidence and struggling for form, we predict a cagey encounter on Wednesday and expect it to finish level. While the visitors' form is noticeably poor, they meet a Troyes side in a slump of their own, and Pelissier's side should, at least, be able to arrest their losing run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lorient
49.58%	26.07%	24.34%

Both teams to score 48.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63%

55.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42%

76.57%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62%

22.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12%

55.88%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.88%

Score Analysis

Troyes 49.58%

Lorient 24.34%

Draw 26.07%

Troyes	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.58%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.34%