Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
49.74% ( 0.63) | 26.5% ( -0.19) | 23.77% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.34) | 57.33% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.27) | 78.16% ( -0.27) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.43) | 23.14% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43% ( 0.63) | 57.01% ( -0.63) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.22) | 39.75% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0.21) | 76.42% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Botafogo 49.74%
Sao Paulo 23.77%
Draw 26.5%
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.77% |
How you voted: Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
Botafogo
85.7%Draw
14.3%Sao Paulo
0.0%7
Form Guide
