Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Oct 30, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Sakhi (8')
Jubal (23')
Niang (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidal (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Considering the last three meetings between these two sides have all ended goalless, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. However, Ajaccio appear to have turned a corner away from home and we can see them snatching all three points with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Ajaccio
36.73% ( -0.02)	28.95% ( 0)	34.31% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.3% (

-0.02)

61.7% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.48% (

-0.01)

81.51% (

0.01)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

-0.02)

32.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

-0.03)

68.63% (

0.03)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

33.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

70.39% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 36.72%

Ajaccio 34.31%

Draw 28.94%

Auxerre	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.72%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.31%