Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
0 - 1
Ajaccio

Duverne (42'), Dari (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hamouma (65')
Diallo (30'), Hamouma (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Brest
Saturday, September 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Strasbourg	8	-3	5
18	Brest	7	-9	5
19	Angers	7	-10	5

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Nice
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Brest	7	-9	5
19	Angers	7	-10	5
20	Ajaccio	7	-8	1

Both sides will view this fixture as a good opportunity to turn their fortunes around and begin to put a positive run of form together. After Brest showed promising signs of improvement against PSG, we can see the hosts coming out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Ajaccio
38.82% ( -0.27)	29.25% ( 0.03)	31.93% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 43.78% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.04% (

-0.07)

62.96% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

-0.05)

82.44% (

0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

-0.2)

31.5% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-0.23)

67.88% (

0.23)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

0.13)

36.09% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

0.13)

72.87% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Brest 38.81%

Ajaccio 31.93%

Draw 29.24%

Brest	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.81%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.24%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.93%