Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Strasbourg |
28.02% ( -0.01) | 28.02% ( -0) | 43.96% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.94% ( 0) | 60.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% ( 0.01) | 80.28% ( -0.01) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( -0) | 37.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( -0) | 74.32% ( -0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% ( 0.01) | 62.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |