Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
2 - 2
Ajaccio

Blas (70'), Simon (89')
Blas (37'), Castelletto (45+1'), Girotto (62'), Kombouare (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Belaili (57' pen.), Hamouma (66')
Kone (35'), Nouri (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Ajaccio
39.61% ( 0.02)	28.16% ( -0.02)	32.22%

Both teams to score 46.83% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.77% (

0.06)

59.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.35% (

0.05)

79.65% (

-0.04)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.04)

29.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.05)

65.11% (

-0.05)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11% (

0.03)

33.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.44% (

0.04)

70.56% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Nantes 39.61%

Ajaccio 32.22%

Draw 28.16%

Nantes	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.22%