Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Toulouse2 - 0Ajaccio
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moussiti-Oko (78')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 1-1 Ajaccio
The home team might be a little shell-shocked given what happened to them earlier this week at the hands of Marseille. Fortunately, they are facing a team with less quality than OM, so they should have an easier time containing Ajaccio, who are more known for their defending than attacking. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
44.98% ( -0.15) | 25.92% ( 0.07) | 29.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.23% ( -0.28) | 51.76% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( -0.25) | 73.53% ( 0.24) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.19) | 22.95% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.28% ( -0.28) | 56.72% ( 0.27) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( -0.1) | 32.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.23% ( -0.11) | 68.77% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 44.98%
Ajaccio 29.1%
Draw 25.91%
| Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.1% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Ajaccio
Toulouse
37.5%Draw
43.8%Ajaccio
18.8%48
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Feb 15, 2021 7.45pm
May 27, 2018 8pm
