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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Angers

Toulouse
3 - 2
Angers

Dejaegere (10'), van den Boomen (40' pen.), Spierings (67')
Nicolaisen (31'), Aboukhlal (48'), Chaibi (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bentaleb (33'), Salama (90+3')
Doumbia (21'), Amadou (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Angers

A Toulouse outfit boasting a fully-fit Ratao can deepen Angers' everlasting defensive woes this weekend, as Montanier's side have found a sixth gear when playing in front of their own fans recently. The visitors can still cause problems in the final third, but a full-strength Toulouse were full value for their point at Lyon and should end Sunday's clash with all three to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAngers
65.81% (-0.313 -0.31) 20.21% (0.158 0.16) 13.98% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.328 -0.33)46.11% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.311 -0.31)68.41% (0.32000000000001 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.188 -0.19)13.17% (0.195 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (-0.39 -0.39)39.86% (0.4 0.4)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)80.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 65.81%
    Angers 13.98%
    Draw 20.21%
ToulouseDrawAngers
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.98%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Angers

Toulouse
80.8%
Draw
19.2%
Angers
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Jan 27, 2019 7pm
Sep 22, 2018 7pm
Apr 21, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
2-0
Angers
Sanogo (42'), Gradel (60' pen.)
Sanogo (30')

Santamaria (52'), Toure (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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