Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Toulouse4 - 2Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 2-2 Montpellier HSC
Montpellier games have tended to be high-scoring affairs this season, so we expect them to carry on in this vein, but Toulouse should have enough about them to get a point at home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.61% ( 0.34) | 20.54% ( 0.04) | 15.84% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
