Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.35% ( 0.32) | 24.98% ( -0.07) | 29.67% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.46% ( 0.17) | 47.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.16) | 69.74% ( -0.16) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.22) | 21% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( 0.34) | 53.77% ( -0.34) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% ( -0.09) | 29.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% ( -0.11) | 65.73% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |