MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:42:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Toulouse

Marseille
6 - 1
Toulouse

Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Clauss (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Mawissa (79'), van den Boomen (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, November 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Toulouse
Friday, December 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Marseille 2-0 Toulouse

 Though Marseille have won only one of their last four Ligue 1 home games, they have been presented with a favourable fixture to kick off their post-Christmas campaign and can take maximum points on Thursday. A lack of goals has seen Toulouse toil on the road, and they have already lost to several other top-flight heavyweights this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
54.31% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.27% (0.09 0.09) 23.41% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.04% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.354 -0.35)40.33% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (-0.365 -0.37)62.71% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)14.83% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.85% (-0.323 -0.32)43.14% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)30.67% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (-0.18 -0.18)66.92% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 54.31%
    Toulouse 23.41%
    Draw 22.27%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.41%

How you voted: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille
89.3%
Draw
9.5%
Toulouse
1.2%
84
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
Aug 10, 2018 7.45pm
Marseille
4-0
Toulouse
Payet (45' pen., 62'), Germain (89'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (46')

Jullien (11'), Amian (44'), Sangare (55')
Mar 11, 2018 8pm
Toulouse
1-2
Marseille
Mubele (19')
Sylla (50'), Gradel (79'), Yago (86')
Ocampos (10'), Mitroglou (79')
Zambo Anguissa (43'), Amavi (63'), Payet (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!