Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
As Auxerre do not travel well, it seems that Nantes are in prime position to claim maximum points from this bottom-four contest, which could be a tense encounter given both teams' current status. Therefore, a single goal could win it for the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
48.15% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( 0.1) | 27.88% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.53) | 44.18% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.52) | 66.55% ( 0.52) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.19) | 18.48% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.33) | 49.68% ( 0.34) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.36) | 29.24% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( -0.44) | 65.2% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.88% |
