Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
45.86% ( 0.03) | 26.16% ( -0) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( -0.01) | 74.84% ( 0.01) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( 0.01) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( 0.02) | 57.08% ( -0.02) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( -0.03) | 33.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( -0.03) | 70.59% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |