Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 0
Nantes

Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Simon (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Troyes have picked up a couple of respectable results in recent weeks for a much-needed injection of confidence, but facing a European-chasing Nantes side is a different kettle of fish to locking horns with basement boys Bordeaux. Kombouare's side are steam-rolling their way past most who stand in their wake and know a thing or two about keeping clean sheets in this fixture, so we expect Les Canaris to keep the pressure on the top five with a professional performance and all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Nantes
39.99%	28.43%	31.58%

Both teams to score 45.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.7%

60.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52%

65.48%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08%

34.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34%

71.66%

Score Analysis

Troyes 39.98%

Nantes 31.57%

Draw 28.42%

Troyes	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.42%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.57%