Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Metz |
49.09% | 26.4% | 24.51% |
Both teams to score 47.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% | 77.45% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% | 23.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.13% | 56.88% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% | 38.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% | 75.31% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 23 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
4 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Lens | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Lyon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Nice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Rennes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 |
12 | NantesNantes | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
15 | Angers | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |