Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz4 - 1Lorient
We said: Metz 1-1 Lorient
When you look at the storylines heading into this match with Metz being so poor at home but Lorient struggling as much on the road, it seems like a draw is the logical result given that neither team have been exceptional in any one department this season, but they usually do just enough to get by once in a while. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
| 40.84% | 27.94% | 31.22% |
| Both teams to score 47.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.11% | 63.89% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% | 34.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.99% | 71.01% |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 40.83%
Lorient 31.22%
Draw 27.94%
| Metz | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.28% Total : 31.22% |
How you voted: Metz vs Lorient
Metz
59.0%Draw
28.2%Lorient
12.8%39
