Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 1, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 3
Montpellier

de Preville (70')
Sarr (34'), Bronn (36')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Savanier (36'), Mavididi (45+1'), Wahi (48')
Mollet (72'), Ristic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Metz 0-2 Montpellier HSC

Metz may be coming off a high note which is not the case for Montpellier, but they have been poor at home for a long time and have not beaten La Paillade in Metz in their previous three fixtures against them. Losing consecutive matches is rare for Montpellier, and we do not expect that trend to continue, given the experience of this squad compared to their opponents on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Montpellier HSC
36.65%	27.97%	35.38%

Both teams to score 47.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86%

58.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2%

78.8%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6%

30.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4%

66.6%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.55%

Score Analysis

Metz 36.65%

Montpellier HSC 35.37%

Draw 27.96%

Metz	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.65%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3% Total : 35.37%