Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz1 - 3Montpellier
We said: Metz 0-2 Montpellier HSC
Metz may be coming off a high note which is not the case for Montpellier, but they have been poor at home for a long time and have not beaten La Paillade in Metz in their previous three fixtures against them. Losing consecutive matches is rare for Montpellier, and we do not expect that trend to continue, given the experience of this squad compared to their opponents on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 36.65% | 27.97% | 35.38% |
| Both teams to score 47.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% | 31.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.45% | 67.55% |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 36.65%
Montpellier HSC 35.37%
Draw 27.96%
| Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3% Total : 35.37% |
How you voted: Metz vs Montpellier
Metz
31.0%Draw
20.7%Montpellier HSC
48.3%58
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 23
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-2
Metz
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
