Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier0 - 1Lyon
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Lyon
Montpellier beat Lyon twice last season, but look a different prospect with some important absentees - now including their captain. The visitors will have some fresh legs after rotating during the week and we are backing them to secure a narrow away victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
| 32.7% | 23.08% | 44.22% |
| Both teams to score 63.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
