Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
43.58% | 25.71% | 30.71% |
Both teams to score 53.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% | 50.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% | 22.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% | 56.72% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |