Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 24, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
4 - 1
Metz

Said (14', 37'), Ganago (83'), Frankowski (90')
Leca (65'), Ganago (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

de Preville (33')
Pajot (20'), Maiga (39'), N'Doram (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Metz
56.2%	24.2%	19.6%

Both teams to score 47.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99%

53.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4%

74.6%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27%

18.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.9%

50.1%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46%

41.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97%

78.03%

Score Analysis

Lens 56.2%

Metz 19.6%

Draw 24.19%

Lens	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.2%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.6%