Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Feb 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
4 - 1
Troyes

Guirassy (14', 20'), Terrier (75'), Laborde (87' pen.)
Guirassy (12')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ugbo (39')
Chavalerin (49'), Tardieu (53'), Salmier (85'), Kabore (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Their defensive shape last week was not what we have been used to seeing from ESTAC since Irles took over, so we expect them to be a lot more compact this weekend, although we do not anticipate that they will be able to find a way through an underrated defence. Rennes could see plenty of tight marking in this match, but they have shown to be quite potent on their home soil, scoring eight goals in their last two games, while conceding none. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 78.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 7.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Troyes
78.2%	14.74%	7.07%

Both teams to score 40.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35%

41.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94%

64.06%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.28%

8.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.01%

30%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.6%

55.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.88%

88.12%

Score Analysis

Rennes 78.18%

Troyes 7.07%

Draw 14.74%

Rennes	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 14.37% 1-0 @ 11.78% 3-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.49% 4-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.21% 5-0 @ 3.48% 5-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.36% Total : 78.18%	1-1 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 4.83% 2-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.74%	0-1 @ 2.85% 1-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 7.07%