We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Bochum may have enjoyed home comforts of late, but a wider view of their form reveals four defeats in their previous five matches across all competitions and venues.
We are backing Freiburg to end Bochum's winning run on home turf, with Streich calling upon all of his wile and guile to get one over Letsch.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.