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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
37.03% ( -0.02) | 23.6% ( -0.01) | 39.36% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.09% ( 0.03) | 38.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.78% ( 0.03) | 61.22% ( -0.03) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( 0) | 21.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% ( 0) | 54.08% ( -0) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( 0.02) | 20.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( 0.04) | 52.32% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |