VfL Bochum1 - 2Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Bochum's imperious home form since appointing Letsch should see them be highly competitive in this match, especially if Terzic decides to heavily rotate ahead of important league and European fixtures. However, Dortmund will want to maintain their excellent record in the DFB-Pokal from recent seasons, especially as it represents their best chance of winning a trophy this season despite their excellent form of late suggesting that higher ambitions may be realistic. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
28.01% ( 0.18) | 20.69% ( -0.03) | 51.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 69.93% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
