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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2024 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Western United

Auckland FC
0 - 4
Western Utd


Gallegos (21')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Danzaki (17' pen.), Botic (23'), Ibusuki (34'), Grimaldi (87')
Imai (80')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-4 Western Utd
Saturday, December 14 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawWestern United
42.8% (1.934 1.93) 24% (0.315 0.32) 33.19% (-2.253 -2.25)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-1.794 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38% (-2.083 -2.08)41.61% (2.079 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (-2.136 -2.14)64.01% (2.132 2.13)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.66% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-2.222 -2.22)24.52% (2.219 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-3.224 -3.22)58.98% (3.22 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 42.8%
    Western United 33.19%
    Draw 24%
Auckland FCDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.259 0.26)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.711 0.71)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.575 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.439 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.314 -0.31)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.236 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.19%

How you voted: Auckland FC vs Western Utd

Auckland FC
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Western United
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
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