Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.