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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 15, 2024 at 6am UK
AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 2
Auckland FC

Memeti (18'), Pijnaker (79' og.)
Schreiber (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
May (53'), Moreno (90+5')
Mckenlay (13'), Elliot (59')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-4 Melbourne City
Friday, December 6 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 7 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAuckland FC
70.49% (-1.991 -1.99) 16.9% (0.815 0.82) 12.6% (1.173 1.17)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09% (-0.81700000000001 -0.82)33.9% (0.815 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (-0.933 -0.93)55.75% (0.93 0.93)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.43% (-0.63000000000001 -0.63)8.57% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.37% (-1.568 -1.57)29.62% (1.565 1.57)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (1.318 1.32)38.8% (-1.321 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (1.223 1.22)75.54% (-1.226 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 70.49%
    Auckland FC 12.6%
    Draw 16.9%
Melbourne CityDrawAuckland FC
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.412 -0.41)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 5.05% (-0.417 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.084 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.289 -0.29)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.153 -0.15)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 70.49%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.234 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.9%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.296 0.3)
0-1 @ 3.15% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 12.6%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Auckland FC

Melbourne City
39.1%
Draw
8.7%
Auckland FC
52.2%
23
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