Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Brisbane Roar1 - 4Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.59% ( -0.25) | 20.02% ( -0.06) | 54.38% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 70.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.06) | 27.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.08) | 47.5% ( -0.08) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.13) | 21.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.07% ( -0.19) | 54.93% ( 0.19) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( 0.1) | 10.36% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.22) | 33.85% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar 25.59%
Melbourne City 54.38%
Draw 20.02%
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.59% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.38% |
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
5-1
Melbourne City
Mar 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
2-1
Brisbane Roar
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Melbourne City
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Form Guide
