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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 23, 2024 at 6am UK
Allianz Stadium
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Jelacic (6'), O'Shea (43' pen.)
Warland (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mauk (33'), Clough (46'), Goodwin (62')
Kikianis (45+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, November 9 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
37.86% (0.374 0.37) 21.88% (0.239 0.24) 40.25% (-0.615 -0.62)
Both teams to score 69.82% (-0.938 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.94% (-1.217 -1.22)30.06% (1.216 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.74% (-1.48 -1.48)51.26% (1.481 1.48)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.377 -0.38)16.92% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (-0.672 -0.67)46.98% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.744 -0.74)15.95% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.382 -1.38)45.23% (1.383 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 37.86%
    Adelaide United 40.25%
    Draw 21.88%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 4.8% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.7% (0.183 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 40.25%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 10.55am
Gameweek 26
Brisbane Roar
3-4
Adelaide United
Hore (3', 83'), Waddingham (78')
Brownlie (59'), Aldred (73'), Hore (90+3')
Ibusuki (39', 47'), Mauk (64'), Van Der Saag (74')
Irankunda (21'), Van Der Saag (33'), Mauk (73')
Dec 10, 2023 4am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
0-2
Brisbane Roar

Ibusuki (90')
Lofthouse (48'), O'Shea (54' pen.)
Lofthouse (60')
Feb 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Adelaide United
2-1
Brisbane Roar
D'Arrigo (34'), Irankunda (82')
Knowles (37')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 7
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Adelaide United
O'Shea (90+4' pen.)
Blackwood (72')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
rhs 2.0
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