We said: Adelaide United 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar have proven themselves to be difficult to break down this season, and because of that, this is likely going to be a low-scoring game.
However, because the visitors are also struggling to score themselves, Adelaide United should be able to take three points in this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.