Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 7, 2023 at 6am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
4 - 0
Adelaide United

Popovic (31' og.), N'Kololo (48'), Madanha (55' og.), Farrell (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clough (49'), Juande (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Victory
Saturday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-0 Perth Glory
Monday, January 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United

Recent history indicates that Central Coast Mariners are the likely victors on Saturday, with the Yellow & Navy winning their last three home matches against the visitors. Not only that, but Adelaide United have struggled when they have played the better teams in the division so far this season, and the hosts are definitely in that category. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
46.02% ( -0.08)	23.21% ( 0)	30.76% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.37% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.14% (

0.02)

38.85% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.83% (

0.03)

61.17% (

-0.03)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-0.02)

17.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45% (

-0.04)

47.55% (

0.03)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

0.05)

24.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

0.08)

59.15% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 46.02%

Adelaide United 30.76%

Draw 23.21%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.08% Total : 46.02%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.76%