Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
33.47% ( 1.78) | 23.38% ( 0.37) | 43.15% ( -2.15) |
Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -1.12) | 38.52% ( 1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% ( -1.19) | 60.82% ( 1.19) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 0.48) | 22.9% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 0.7) | 56.65% ( -0.7) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -1.31) | 18.26% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.69% ( -2.27) | 49.31% ( 2.27) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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