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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 16, 2022 at 3am UK
Westpac Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Wellington
2 - 2
Central Coast

Waine (57'), Ayongo (89' og.)
Zawada (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (59'), Cummings (64')
Kelechi (16'), Ayongo (18'), Steele (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 9 at 3am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
40.44% (0.419 0.42) 24.32% (0.317 0.32) 35.24% (-0.73200000000001 -0.73)
Both teams to score 60.03% (-1.284 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-1.624 -1.62)42.63% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-1.636 -1.64)65.03% (1.639 1.64)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.498 -0.5)21.17% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.784 -0.78)54.05% (0.78599999999999 0.79)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-1.14 -1.14)23.83% (1.143 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-1.665 -1.67)58.01% (1.669 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 40.44%
    Central Coast Mariners 35.24%
    Draw 24.31%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.356 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.28 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 4.05am
Wellington
0-4
Central Coast

Ball (34'), McGarry (54')
N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
Central Coast
5-0
Wellington
Urena (8' pen.), N'Kololo (24'), Cummings (55' pen.), Kuol (68'), Hatch (90+3')

Fenton (89'), Wootton (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Central Coast
Hooper (48'), Sotirio (63')
Urena (52')
Feb 14, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
0-2
Central Coast

Ball (27')
Simon (40'), Bozanic (50' pen.)
Miller (84')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2021 5.05am
Central Coast
1-2
Wellington
Kuol (41')
Kuol (12')
Davila (15'), Sotirio (88')
Davila (74')
> Preview
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