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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 9, 2022 at 3am UK
Westpac Stadium
Adelaide United

Wellington
1 - 1
Adelaide United

Waine (75')
Kraev (39'), Laws (85')
Sasse (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Halloran (90+3')
Popovic (34')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
32.73% (1.098 1.1) 24.06% (0.09 0.09) 43.2% (-1.186 -1.19)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92%42.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52%64.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (0.663 0.66)25.01% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (0.911 0.91)59.67% (-0.91 -0.91)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.509 -0.51)19.69% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (-0.834 -0.83)51.69% (0.836 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 32.73%
    Adelaide United 43.2%
    Draw 24.06%
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.73%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 43.2%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.50am
Wellington
1-1
Adelaide United
Sandoval (20')
Sail (90')
Oliveira (90+2')
Jakobsen (23')
Jan 1, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
4-0
Wellington
Blackwood (7'), Goodwin (54' pen., 69' pen.), Lopez (80')
Sanchez (48'), Kitto (58'), Tratt (75'), Mauk (87'), Lopez (90+1')

Waine (29'), Lewis (46'), (48'), Pennington (73')
May 7, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Wellington

Juande (12'), Strain (68')
Strain (74')

Lewis (19')
Apr 25, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
2-1
Adelaide United
Waine (58'), Hemed (90+7' pen.)
Rufer (10'), McGarry (37'), Ball (65'), Devlin (90+6')
Mauk (51')
Mauk (39'), Gauci (90+5'), Toure (90+6')
Jul 25, 2020 8am
Wellington
1-1
Adelaide United
Sotirio (65')
Piscopo (45'), Fenton (90+1')
Fardal Opseth (60')
Elsey (34'), Gomulka (61'), Jakobsen (82'), Toure (85')
rhs 2.0
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