Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

May 8, 2022 at 9.20am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Western Utd

Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Western United
50.61%	23.98%	25.4%

Both teams to score 55.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9%

46.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6%

68.39%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75%

18.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71%

49.29%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85%

32.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37%

68.63%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 50.61%

Western United 25.4%

Draw 23.98%

Adelaide United	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.61%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.4%