Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 8, 2022 at 10.45am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Macarthur

Ibusuki (45+1')
Brook (56'), Ibusuki (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Uskok (87'), (87')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
47.99%	23.79%	28.21%

Both teams to score 58.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88%

43.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48%

65.52%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91%

49.08%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78%

64.21%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 47.99%

Macarthur 28.21%

Draw 23.79%

Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.99%	1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.21%