Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Feb 12, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
4 - 0
Adelaide United

Derbyshire (66', 73', 90'), Milligan (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Halloran (3'), Mauk (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
27.21%	21.9%	50.89%

Both teams to score 64.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.19%

56.82%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.49%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98%

14.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.42%

41.58%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 27.21%

Adelaide United 50.89%

Draw 21.9%

Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 6.63% 1-0 @ 4.85% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.21%	1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 4.27% 1-4 @ 3.01% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.89%