Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
29.09% | 23.39% | 47.53% |
Both teams to score 60.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% | 40.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% | 63.03% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% | 26.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% | 61.82% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.64% | 17.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.25% | 47.75% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.09% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.97% Total : 47.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |