Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
40.8% | 23.85% | 35.35% |
Both teams to score 61.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.63% | 40.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.26% | 62.74% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% | 20.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% | 52.26% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% | 22.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% | 56.41% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.06% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |