Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.