Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Jan 2, 2021 at 6.05am UK
WIN Stadium
Wellington1 - 2Sydney FC
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 37.33% | 25.11% | 37.56% |
| Both teams to score 57.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% | 46.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% | 68.45% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% | 24.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% | 24.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.48% | 58.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix 37.33%
Sydney FC 37.56%
Draw 25.11%
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.56% |
How you voted: Wellington vs Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
24.4%Draw
9.8%Sydney FC
65.9%41
Form Guide
