Australian A-League

Aug 22, 2020 at 8am UK

Spotless Stadium

Wellington
0 - 1
Perth Glory

Devlin (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chianese (18')
Mrcela (77'), Reddy (90'), Juande (90+1')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
36.72%	25.11%	38.17%

Both teams to score 57.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83%

46.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54%

68.46%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35%

24.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.83%

59.17%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12%

23.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93%

58.07%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 36.72%

Perth Glory 38.17%

Draw 25.1%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.72%	1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.17%