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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Werder Bremen |
50.92% ( 0.49) | 21.33% ( -0.03) | 27.76% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 67.23% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.41% ( -0.24) | 31.59% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.91% ( -0.28) | 53.09% ( 0.28) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.13% ( 0.07) | 12.87% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.73% ( 0.14) | 39.27% ( -0.14) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( -0.41) | 22.84% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( -0.61) | 56.56% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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