MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 02:21:43| >> :600:1609779:1609779:
Paderborn logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

SC Paderborn
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Michel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (30')
Njinmah (81'), Njinmah (84'), Malatini (90+4'), Bittencourt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between SC Paderborn and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: SC Paderborn 2-1 Werder Bremen

Given Werder Bremen's recent history of being knocked out of the DFB-Pokal by lower-league opposition, it would not be surprising if they were eliminated by Paderborn on Wednesday. Paderborn will no doubt have to surrender possession in order to secure victory, but they will be confident considering their previous win against the hosts in 2022-23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 1-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
53.08% (0.411 0.41) 21.22% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 25.68% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.07% (-0.158 -0.16)32.93% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.36% (-0.181 -0.18)54.64% (0.181 0.18)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (0.066999999999993 0.07)12.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.34 -0.34)24.9% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)59.52% (0.476 0.48)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 53.09%
    Werder Bremen 25.69%
    Draw 21.23%
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: SC Paderborn vs Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn
50.0%
Draw
17.5%
Werder Bremen
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Second Round
SC Paderborn
2-2
Werder Bremen
(Aggregate 2-2 | SC Paderborn win 5-4 on penalties)
Platte (22'), Conteh (42')
Bittencourt (65'), Weiser (84')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
SC Paderborn
3-4
Werder Bremen
Muslija (15' pen., 38'), Platte (57')
Schuster (24'), Klement (35'), Hunemeier (85')
Ducksch (35'), Schmid (60'), Fullkrug (67'), Toprak (86')
Bittencourt (2'), Jung (77')
Aug 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
1-4
SC Paderborn
Schmidt (52')
Friedl (37'), Veljkovic (40')
Platte (9', 17'), Michel (36'), Schallenberg (55')
Schuster (41'), van der Werff (59')
Jun 13, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
SC Paderborn
1-5
Werder Bremen
Sabiri (66')
Gjasula (32'), Jans (39'), Michel (63'), Zolinski (78'), Ritter (80'), Sabiri (82')
Klaassen (20', 39'), Osako (34'), Eggestein (60'), Fullkrug (90+2')
Augustinsson (15'), Klaassen (63'), Fullkrug (80')
Dec 8, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-1
SC Paderborn
Michel (90')
Gjasula (31'), Mamba (41'), Vasiliadis (59'), Collins (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!