MX23RW : Monday, March 17 03:39:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Freiburg


Malatini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doan (75')
Eggestein (36'), Osterhage (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg

Given the hosts have struggled to create many big chances this season, they could struggle to produce many opportunities once more on Saturday. However, Freiburg were poor in the final third last time out, and it would therefore not be a surprise if their clash against Werder Bremen was ultimately low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
33.58% (-0.442 -0.44) 25.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 40.61% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)49.7% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.035 -0.04)71.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (-0.294 -0.29)28.17% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (-0.376 -0.38)63.86% (0.379 0.38)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.21899999999999 0.22)24.19% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.308 0.31)58.52% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.58%
    Freiburg 40.61%
    Draw 25.8%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.58%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
Draw
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
42.6%
Draw
29.8%
Freiburg
27.7%
47
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Werder Bremen
3-1
Freiburg
Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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